A new opinion poll has projected that Issa Tchiroma Bakari could secure a decisive win in Cameroon’s October 2025 presidential election, taking 56.9% of the vote — a result that would dramatically reshape the country’s political landscape.
The survey, conducted by the NGO English Cameroon for United Cameroon, places the former Minister of Employment and Vocational Training far ahead of his rivals, with Bello Bouba Maigari at 16.2% and Cabral Libii at 12.6%.
The findings come in the wake of the controversial exclusion of Maurice Kamto, previously considered the leading opposition contender.
“With 56.9%, the former minister would be significantly ahead of his competitors, provided that the election is transparent,” the study notes, highlighting ongoing concerns over electoral integrity in Cameroon.
Analysts say the shift in numbers stems largely from a transfer of support from Kamto’s base to the candidate of the Front for the National Salvation of Cameroon (FSNC).
“Maurice Kamto’s electorate could transfer to the candidate of the Front for the National Salvation of Cameroon,” the report explains, underscoring the pivotal role Kamto’s disqualified candidacy is playing in the race.
The poll’s release comes at a critical juncture, as opposition parties debate whether to rally behind a single candidate.
“The FSNC candidate took part this Saturday in the consultation meeting of political parties at the Solomon Tandeng Muna Foundation,” confirms the official electoral calendar.
That meeting was intended to pave the way for the selection of a unified opposition candidate by Sunday, 10 August 2025 — a deadline seen as key to shaping the final electoral battle.
With the poll granting Tchiroma a commanding lead, pressure is mounting on other opposition figures to consolidate support behind him.
“This poll comes as the opposition is trying to unite,” the study observes, suggesting that the data could accelerate ongoing negotiations.
The outcome of these talks will determine whether the opposition can turn statistical advantage into political victory — and whether Issa Tchiroma’s projected landslide becomes a political reality.
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